Predicting the success of Grand Theft Auto 6 is challenging, especially with its release still over 10 months away. The real question isn`t whether GTA 6 will be a hit, but rather the sheer scale and reach of its impact. Konvoy, a venture capital firm focused on video games, recently published its financial forecasts for GTA 6, estimating that Rockstar Games` highly anticipated title will generate an astounding $7.6 billion in revenue within just 60 days of its launch.
Konvoy`s managing partner, Josh Chapman, shared the firm`s GTA 6 projections on LinkedIn recently. Their analysis is based on unconfirmed assumptions, such as an $80 base price and a $2 billion development budget for the game. These figures remain speculative. Strauss Zelnick, CEO of Rockstar`s parent company, Take-Two Interactive, recently commented that the `value to a consumer` often far exceeds the `top-line price` paid.
Nevertheless, Konvoy anticipates GTA 6 will recover its estimated $2 billion budget in under 30 days, going on to achieve the largest gaming launch in history, breaking records for both units sold and revenue. By the close of its second month, the firm projects the game`s total revenue to hit $7.6 billion.
Intriguingly, Konvoy also speculates that GTA 6 will feature a new User-Generated Content (UGC) platform. This platform would enable mod creators to design their own game areas and potentially earn compensation for their work through a creator economy, similar to models seen in UEFN and Roblox.
Another prediction is that GTA 6 will support 200-player lobbies and incorporate a system where players can steal weapons and items from one another.
Rockstar has maintained a high level of secrecy regarding GTA 6`s specifics. However, a leak has hinted at Drake potentially having his own in-game radio station. Furthermore, it`s estimated that delaying the game`s release beyond 2025 could result in a $2.7 billion revenue loss for the industry.
Grand Theft Auto 6 is scheduled for release on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on May 26, 2026.
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